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Stats at a glance: Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma State

The most cursory of glances to see how these teams stack up

NCAA Football: Oklahoma State at Texas A&M Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Texas A&M wraps up their 2023 season on Wednesday as they go down the road to Houston to take on the Ok;ahoma State Cowboys in the TaxAct Texas Bowl. I’m no stats expert, but let’s take a look at some high level information that might tell us how these two teams match up against one another.

Aggie offense vs Poke defense

NCAA Football: Mississippi State at Texas A&M Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

RUSHING YARDS

  • A&M rushing offense: 141.42 YPG (No. 89 nationally)
  • OSU rushing defense: 174 YPG (No. 106 nationally)

PASSING YARDS

  • A&M passing offense; 262.3 YPG (No. 40 nationally)
  • OSU passing defense: 267.5 YPG (No. 125 nationally)

TOTAL YARDS

  • A&M offense yards gained: 403.8 YPG (No. 52 nationally)
  • OSU defense yards allowed: 441.5 (No. 124 nationally)

SCORING

  • A&M scoring offense: 34.2 PPG (No. 23 nationally)
  • OSU scoring defense: 29 PPG (No. 93 nationally)

PASS PROTECTION/PASS RUSH

  • A&M offensive sacks allowed: 2.33 per game (No. 91 nationally)
  • OSU defensive sacks: 1.92 per game (No. 72 nationally)

3RD DOWN CONVERSIONS

  • A&M offense: 43.9% (No 34 nationally)
  • OSU defense: 42.16% (No. 101 nationally)

TURNOVERS

  • A&M offensive turnovers: 13 (No. 20 nationally)
  • OSU defensive takeaways: 21 (No. 29 nationally)

Aggie defense vs Poke offense

NCAA Football: New Mexico at Texas A&M Maria Lysaker-USA TODAY Sports

RUSHING YARDS

  • A&M rushing defense: 106.67 YPG (No. 18 nationally)
  • OSU rushing offense: 156.92 YPG (No. 66 nationally)

PASSING YARDS

  • A&M passing defense; 188.3 YPG (No. 22 nationally)
  • OSU passing offense: 264.2 YPG (No. 37 nationally)

TOTAL YARDS

  • A&M defense yards allowed: 295 YPG (No. 9 nationally)
  • OSU offense yards gained: 421.2 (No. 39 nationally)

SCORING

  • A&M scoring offense: 21.3 PPG (No. 34 nationally)
  • OSU scoring defense: 29.5 PPG (No. 55 nationally)

PASS PROTECTION/PASS RUSH

  • A&M defensive sacks: 3.5 per game (No. 4 nationally)
  • OSU offensive sacks allowed: 1 per game (No. 8 nationally)

3RD DOWN CONVERSIONS

  • A&M defense: 30.32% (No 12 nationally)
  • OSU offense: 37.89% (No. 76 nationally)

TURNOVERS

  • A&M defensive takeaways: 11 (No. 123 nationally)
  • OSU offensive turnovers: 19 (No. 85 nationally)

What does it all mean?

The heck if I know. But if you’re looking for areas where the Aggies seem to have an advantage, A&M looks to have decidedly better stats when throwing the ball and on third downs against the Poke defense. On the other side of the ball, A&M will look to continue their staunch run defense (even against the Doak Walker Award winner), which has also played a big part in their success in getting off the field on third down.

As far as weaknesses are concerned, there’s no glaring one for the A&M offense (compared to OSU’s defense). Facing a relatively poor defense without a good pass rush could really pay dividends for the Ags. Defensively, the A&M secondary has been a weak point all year, despite having decent end-of-year stats. Add in the fact that Deuce Harmon and Tyreek Chappell have entered the portal, and the back half of the Aggie defense could be particularly vulnerable against an opportunistic Cowboy passing game. And as we’ve seen all year, A&M’s inability to force turnovers could prove to make this game challenging.

Vegas now has Oklahoma State as a narrow favorite, but the advanced stats community seems to favor the Aggies.

All that to say: bowl games are squirrely. Players enter the portal or opt out. Some teams appear to be more motivated than others. In short, they’re even harder than regular season games are to predict. My advice? Don’t worry about the result, and just enjoy the last bit of Aggie football you’ll see until August 2024.

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