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Aggie Hoops Postseason Outlook

We aren’t going to the big dance, but we might get invited to a small one.

Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

Good afternoon, gang.

It’s Selection Sunday, so let’s take a look at the available tournaments and try to figure out where the Aggies are headed.


The NCAA Tournament?

Short Answer: Nope.

Long Answer: Nooooooooooooooooope.

The NIT?

Short Answer: The conference tourneys broke our way, but it’s going to be close.

Long Answer: The NIT is tough to project in early March, as the tournament guarantees a spot to every conference regular season champion that does not win their tournament. Which basically boils down to “every time a one-bid conference tournament isn’t won by the #1 seed.” This happens between 10-15+ times per season, so you know you’re going to lose some spots to that process... you just don’t know how many.

This year, we’re only looking at 10-11 bids gone... which is about as good as we could have hoped for. In the last 12 hours, I’ve seen us as a 6 seed, a 7 seed, and missing the tournament entirely. It’s going to be close.

If that doesn’t work out for us, we’ve got one final decision to make...

A Sub-NIT Tournament? (CBI, Vegas 16, or CIT)

Short Answer: We’ve got a spot if we want one, but we shouldn’t accept a bid.

Long Answer: These tournaments are not meant for power five teams.

  • The CBI had no P5 teams last year, one (Colorado) in 2015, and three (Texas A&M, Penn State, and Oregon State) in 2014.
  • The 2016 CIT was supposed to include 32 teams, but they could only find 26 teams (and no P5 teams) that were interested.
  • And the Vegas 16? Probably fair to assume that they were hoping for 16 teams... and they could only find eight. Again, none of which came from a P5 conference.

These tournaments would do nothing for our program. If we don’t make the NIT, we need to turn these suckers down.


Those are the available options. No matter what happens today, we’ll keep you posted.