We hope everyone had a lovely Thanksgiving holiday and is currently suffering from that wonderfully content bloated feeling from the weekend-long grazing on leftovers. In between breaking out the Christmas decorations, we'll make the games more interesting by attempting to fatten our holiday shopping budgets.
WEEK THIRTEEN IN REVIEW
Rather than a game by game run down, we'll just note that our only major win was A&M getting blown out by LSU. Yay? Ole Miss was impotent in the red zone, Wake Forest choked away a two TD lead, Northwestern no showed, and KSU forgot their run defense. In the bonus bets, Notre Dame and BYU were kind enough to keep their unseemly scoring to a minimum, as one would expect from two devout religious institutions. That's it. A very, very unkind performance, and we apologize.
In total, we bled out 174 GBHs last week, and now find ourselves barely above water for the season.
Current Bankroll: 10121
THE GAME Duke +5.5 at UNC
Earlier this year, we swore off Fedora and UNC. They've since rattled off six straight wins against the spread and five outright wins. Tarheels, we can't quit you. Duke is still overvalued, basking in the glow of their blowout win over the Canes. And once again, the Blue Devils are a public road favorite. The line has nudged the other way. Lucky to escape last week against a bad Wake team, Duke won't be able to do so again versus a much better UNC squad.
THE BET UNC -5.5
THE GAME Tennessee -4 at Kentucky
The suspect line of the week. Taking the Vols minus the points seems too easy, right? Well, you're not alone. UT is one of the biggest public plays of the week, but the line has dipped to 3.5 at sharp bookmakers. Away from home this year, Butch's team has been awful, getting steamrolled in every game. Mark Stoops has his guys up for their final game of the year, and the Wildcat run game is the difference. Fade the public.
THE BET Kentucky +4 (44 GBHs to win 40)
THE GAME Notre Dame +15.5 at Stanford
Here's the list of teams Stanford has beaten by more than 14 points this year: San Jose State and Cal. That's it. They haven't truly housed any team with a pulse, and for all of their flaws and injuries, the Irish are a competent unit. The takeaway is that David Shaw has a curious ability to keep games closer than they should be, and it rears its head here. This is a two score game. Not a three score game.
THE BET Notre Dame +15.5 (44 GBHs to win 40)
THE GAME Texas A&M +4 at Mizzou
As with LSU, the difference here is balance. Mizzou can run the ball and stop the run. A&M cannot do either. Johnny returns to his superhero form, but it's not enough when the pieces around him are misfiring. Mizzou has a division title to play for and A&M has some OL looking to the NFL and beat up underclassmen ready for the season to end. And we'll supersize our bet even more than last week.
THE BET Mizzou -4 (110 GBHs to win 100)
THE GAME Kansas State -16.5 at Kansas
A big rivalry game in the [checks Wikipedia] Sunflower State. Which might as well be played on a neutral site, because Jayhawk fans are already very much into basketball season. So is their football team, coming off a 34-0 pasting at the hands of Iowa State. Snyder has his team ready and delivers a whuppin'.
THE BET Kansas State -16.5 (44 GBHs to win 40)
Ohio State - 16 (22 GBHS to win 20) Urban's gonna go beat up the neighborhood fat kid. Poll points!
FSU -27.5 (22 GBHs to win 20) More square action? Sure. Florida has officially reached dead man walking territory. Enjoy the Muschamp drama.
Bama -10.5 (22 GBHs to win 20) Auburn won't be able to run on Bama. Ugliness will ensue.
It's the last close-to-full card of the year. Let's feast, everyone.